Chennairains (COMK)

Thunderstorms to continue over Interior TN

Posted on by Chennaiyil Oru Mazhaikkaalam

With each passing day the mood among weather bloggers is gradually increasing with expectation about the onset of Northeast Monsoons. Every run of every available weather model is dissected & discussed threadbare. Different theories are put out on why Model X is reading the situation better than Model Y not to forget many a times weather bloggers tend to put their eggs in one basket, the basket that suits their needs, so you could find two different bloggers from two different parts of the coast trying their level best to convince the other on which scenario is likely to happen because the one closer to their heart seems to be in sync with their expectations.

Finally though it is Nature’s call on how things will pan out. Just like Time & tide waits for none nature also does not quicken or slacken its pace of churning events to suit our interests. It is also that time of the year when the phones start over heating so much, due to the multiple windows / apps / messages by the dozen every minute in the by now lost count of weather groups in WhatsApp, you could possibly use it to iron your clothes in the event you are not able to locate your Iron Box.

But in all fairness to the bloggers, there is not a group anywhere in the country who are passionate about weather as much as the weather bloggers down south. And possibly the most optimistic as well just like how fans of Dhoni think it is never over until the fat lady sings, the weather bloggers never discount any cyclone coming towards their coast irrespective of how it is heading.

While almost all of us wait for the onset of Northeast Monsoon, there is still some unfinished business that is continuing as far as thunderstorm activity goes. With IMD expecting Southwest Monsoon to complete its withdrawal by 26th of October the next couple of days we will continue to see thunderstorms triggered by wind instabilities over the interior parts of TN. It will reman mostly an interior show until we start seeing moisture pushed by Easterlies from Bay post which it is time for those bloggers from Chennai to start singing

https://youtu.be/CN_2RIugaIE

282 thoughts on “Thunderstorms to continue over Interior TN”

  1. Rainfall in Punjab. Under the influence of Western disturbance:

    Gurudaspur aws – 39mm

    Nur mahal kvk – 34mm

    Ludhiana – 23mm

    Ferozpur kvk – 35.5mm

    Ferozpur – 31mm

    Fategarh sahib – 14mm

    Moga – 12mm

    Ropar kvk – 28mm

    Sangrur – 12.5mm

    Budhsingh wala kvk – 13mm

  4. Konni 131mm
    Punalur 75
    Kottarakkara 68
    Enamakkal 60
    Seethathode 60
    Neyyattinkara 59
    Kakkayam 53
    Peringalkuthu 51
    Thenmala 38
    Peermade 27
    Vellayani 24
    Muvattupuzha 20

  8. Most of the heavy spelle are not recorded in vnr due to lack of rain gauges!

    Rains skipping that areas..
    My place would have got easily 4 cm yesterday..

    Nothing recorded in rg as it is in south west

  12. You are having effective mid latitude wave response produced out of north Bay convection/Indonesia – North Pac. And active convection near SPCZ is creating a wave response in southern hemisphere. Until these two areas of convection settles, there will be very little forward progression of MJO into IO from Africa.

    1. rains starts with butterfly song…mojo effect seen from admin… expecting more chill songs for upcoming awesome days❤️🙏

  20. The cooling horseshoe of southern IO from west AUS is something to keep an eye when forecasting Tropics. This is a trend basically since 2014 where region over AUS is cooling. This may create overhead subsidence over western IO and how it affects Tropics further needs to be seen

  21. Unlike 2016 2017 time we have strong pressure gradient between EPac and MTC. Expect trades to be more stronger in Pacific and re-intensify the Sumatra Indonesia Walker cell. The active SPCZ zone and MJO don’t support a cyclone what GFS shows. A weak system to cross TN is likely solution and at same time South china sea pulse may interact with western trough and head up. Only after these two events we may see established NE monsoon over us.

  22. Since ICON forecast lead time is just 180 hours (which is 8 days), it has just started to pick a circulation like feature off SL coast on Oct 31, may be there will soon be some consensus there, initial trough feature now pushed by most models to Oct 28/29 or later

    2. There is a chance of disturbance around Oct 31 due to kelvin induced WWB, need to see if other models agree, but the onset trough shown earlier starting Oct 26th has been removed and slightly being pushed till Oct 29 even by GFS/GEM now as the shortwave induced by current WD affecting Kashmir fades away

  27. தூத்துக்குடி, விருதுநகர் மாவட்டங்கள் தான் அக்டோபர் மாதத்தில் மழைக் குறைவாக பெற்றவை.

  30. Rainfall till evening(in cm) :

    Katra-9;

    Jammu-8;

    Qazi Gund-7;

    Baderwah and Pahalgaon-6 each;

    Kokarnag, Banihal and Batote-5 each;

    Srinagar-3;

    Hut bay – 1

    Minicoy – 1

      2. Black, light blue, dark blue, green, brown, light orange, dark orange, red, pale yellow are the different colors we can see in comments section.. ☺️

      6. That looks good sailuji… previously I ll be searching for new comments in blog …here that colour variation Is good to identify new comments..❤️😍

  35. Rainfall in Karnataka till morning (in cm) :

    Belthangadi (Dakshina Kannada dt) 5,

     Chikkamagaluru 5, 

    Mysuru 5 , 

    Dharmasthala 
    (Dakshina Kannada dt) 4,

     Hassan 4, 

    Channagiri (Davangere dt) 4,

     Hoskote (Bengaluru Rural dt) 4 ; 

    Subramanya (Dakshina Kannada dt) 3, 

    Nanjanagud (Mysuru dt) 3, 

    M M Hills (Chamarajanagar dt) 3, 

    Napoklu (Kodagu dt) 3,

     Thondebhavi (Chikaballapura dt) 3 ;

     Brahmavar Aws 2, 

    Karkala (both Udupi 
    dt) 2, 

    Ponnampet (Kodagu dt) 2,

     Jayapura 2, 

    Kadur (both Chikkamagaluru dt) 2, 

    Halebeedu 2, 

    Belur (both 
    Hassan dt) 2, 

    Magadi (Ramanagara dt) 2,

     Agumbe 2, 

    Bengaluru City 2, 

    Chintamani (Chikaballapura dt) 2 

    Koppa, Yagati, Kammardi, Balehonnur, Ajjampura (all Chikkamagaluru dt), Hesaraghatta 
    (Bengaluru Urban dt), Konanur, Alur, Arkalgud (all Hassan dt), K R Nagara (Mysuru dt), Rayalpadu 
    (Kolar dt), Gowribidanur (Chikaballapura dt), Chikkanahalli Aws, Madhugiri, Sira, Midigeshi (all 
    Tumakuru dt), Bhadravathi (Shivamogga dt) 1 each.

  37. Btw ECM quite consistent on tuty getting first widespread nem spell on 25th night/26th morning ..looks like a good start to them again similar to last 3 years

  38. I have subscribed notifications for “new replies to my comments”. But I’m also getting notifications for other conversations where I’m not part of.. ☺️

      1. I also feel the .ini or php can we tweaked, anyways, wanted to post a video, converting to GIF increases the file size proportionally

      3. Earlier with Disqus the images were getting stored in their servers, now it will be stored in the Chennairains server…already we have added the comment load now to the server which earlier was at discus side. Let me check the load pattern and take a call

  41. Kerala crosses it’s annual NEM tally of 491mm, now at 506mm.
    Kerala has also crossed 500mm for October.

    The highest single day(24hr) rainfall for Kerala in 2021 was on October 16th when a massive 80mm was recorded for the state as a whole.

  44. Rainfall till now :

    Anantnag – 76mm

    Udhampur – 66mm

    Rambagh Srinagar – 34mm

    Srinagar AMFU – 27mm

    Pulwama – 26mm

    Govindpura – 36mm

    Kishtwar – 25mm

    Samba – 21mm

    Shopian – 56mm

    Reasi – 58mm

  45. Like last year, its the same North America vs Europe this year as well :P, may be revenge for Nivar or another loss needs to be seen 😛

  46. ECM looks to be finally converging to ICON solution regarding the shortwave trough influence hampering our initial rainfall chances, ICON has been performing really well with shortwave events and its influence on tropical systems this year across the globe

      1. Personally, I am interested only around/after Nov 1st week or Nov 10, enjoy on/off rains until then, but the influence of CCKW entering WIO now needs to be seen, there is a possibility it gets absorbed to SH again

  47. Thought of updating the leaderboard of the NEM Fantasy contest being played by the bloggers. It is interesting to see how similar set of stations give different results to teams based on how they choose the combination & carefully use the Captain & Super Sub strategy

  56. I agree all of us have got used to Discus & its functionality, especially the live commenting etc. But off late issues with spam comments have forced us to look at alternatives. It may not be as nimble as discus but surely much better from privacy point of view

      1. True. It is scary at times. For me the worst thing was, slowly every moderating tool was being shifted to a paid platform & the first slab was at 99 USD which allowed you to meaningfully moderate.

      7. If you have a WordPress account..try this, login into wp using the button from the comment box…any other method will keep redirecting you to login window only

  78. ♦ Southwest Monsoon has further withdrawn from remaining parts of Northeast India, West Bengal, Odisha; entire north Bay of Bengal and Goa; some parts of
    Andhra Pradesh; remaining parts of Telangana and some more parts of Karnataka and Central Arabian Sea. The Southwest Monsoon Withdrawal Line now
    passes through Lat 18.5°N/Long 94°E and Lat 18.5°N/Long 90°E, Kalingapatnam, Nandigama, Kurnool, Gadag, Majali, Lat 15°N/Long 65°E and Lat
    15°N/Long 60°E
    -Courtesy IMD

    Bye Bye SWM 2021 , We will meet in 2022!

  92. Rainfall in J&K till morning. Impact of Western disturbance(in cm) :

    Govindpura 6cm,

    Anantnag 6cm

    Khudwani 6cm

    Qazi Gund 6cm,

    Kulgam 5cm,

    Kukernag 5cm,

    Udhampur(Iaf) 5cm,

    Banihal 5cm,

    Awantipur Iaf 5cm,

    Zainapora 4cm,

    Pahalgam 4cm,

    Konibal 4cm,

    Srinagar 4cm,

    Shalimar 4cm,

    Katra, Kawa, Rambagh, Harran, Ganderbal, Rajouri 3cm,

    Baramulla, Bandipora, Gulmarg R.S., Batote, Raj Pura, Gund 2cm each

  95. Rainfall till morning:

    Perundurai (dist Erode) – 9cm

    Sathanur Dam (dist Tiruvannamalai) – 6cm

    Annur (dist Coimbatore), Edapadi (dist Salem), Uthukuli (dist

    Tiruppur), Musiri (dist Trichy) – 5cm

    Erode (dist Erode), Bhavanisagar (dist Erode), Polur (dist

    Tiruvannamalai), Sankarapuram (dist Kallakurichi), Rasipuram

    (dist Namakkal) – 4cm

    Ennore AWS (dist Tiruvallur) Chengam (dist Tiruvannamalai),

    Tiruvannamalai (dist Tiruvannamalai), Kumarapalayam (dist

    Namakkal), Kulithalai (dist Karur), Kothagiri (dist Nilgiris),

    Gobichettipalayam (dist Erode), Thathiengrpet (dist Trichy),

    Kodaikanal (dist Dindigul) -3cm

    Ariyalur (dist Ariyalur), Krishnarayapuram (dist Karur), Sulur

    (dist Coimbatore), Attur (dist Salem), Kallakurichi (dist

    Kallakurichi), Periyar (dist Theni), Coonoor Pto (dist Nilgiris),

    Mayanur (dist Karur), Denkanikottai (dist Krishnagiri), Karur

    (dist Karur), Illuppur (dist Pudukkottai), Mettur (dist Salem),

    Sankaridurg (dist Salem), Peelamedu Ap (dist Coimbatore) – 2cm

    Thandarampettai (dist Tiruvannamalai), Sathyamangalam (dist

    Erode), Bhavani (dist Erode), Ramanathapuram (dist

    Ramanathapuram), Shoolagiri (dist Krishnagiri), Annavasal (dist

    Pudukkottai), Thuraiyur (dist Trichy), Tiruppur (dist Tiruppur),

    Nagapattinam (dist Nagapattinam), Tirupathur Pto (dist

    Tirupattur), Ayyampettai (dist Thanjavur), Tirupattur (dist

    Tirupattur), Krishnagiri (dist Krishnagiri), Hogenekal (dist

    Dharmapuri), Erumapatti (dist Namakkal), Thammampatty (dist

    Salem), Lalgudi (dist Trichy), K Bridge (dist Nilgiris), Sattur (dist

    Virudhunagar), Coonoor (dist Nilgiris), Mannargudi (dist

    Tiruvarur), Kamudhi (dist Ramanathapuram) – 1cm

    1. On the right hand bottom corner you will see a blurb that will show how many unread comments you have. You just need to click that to go to respective unread comments

  124. 2017 November . Rainfall from the North moving depression:

    16th November:

    Sompeta,AP – 18cm,

    Ichchapuram ,AP – 17cm,

    Mandasa ,AP – 14cm,

    Palasa and Kalingapatnam 11cm each,

    Gop, Tekkali and Astaranga ARG 9cm each,

    Puri and Paradip 8cm each,

    Digapahandi ARG,orissa – 7cm

    Paralakhemundi,orissa – 7cm

    Pathapatnam,AP – 7cm

    Mahendragarh, orissa – 7cm

    Tirtol ARG,Orissa – 7cm

    Balikuda ARG, orissa – 7cm

    Kujanga
    ARG ,orissa – 7cm

    and

    Nischintakoili ARG, orissa – 7cm

  125. Early morning rains in Kerala today.
    Alathur 120mm
    North Paravur 78
    Kollengode 72.2
    Chalakudy 72.2
    Erimayur 67
    Mannarkad 66
    Thrithala 61.8
    Kodungallur 54
    Lower Periyar 48
    Myladumpara 47.4
    Aluva 45.6
    Vayanthala 45
    Keerampara 38
    Ernakulam 38.2
    Thrissur 37
    Idamalayar 36
    Palluruthy 36
    Ottappalam 34
    Vadakkancherry 32
    Irinjalakuda 30
    Kochi 25.4
    Anchal 24

  128. Rainfall till morning:

    Baramulla kvk, J&K – 24.5mm

    Bandipore, J&K – 24mm

    Ganderbal, J&K – 29mm

    Rambagh Srinagar – 34mm

    Ramban J&K – 63mm

    Udhampur J&K – 31mm

    Anantnag J&K – 61mm

  129. Good Morning All. We will be using the current commenting platform for the next few days to understand the pros and cons in real life conditions. So please bear with us in case at times you are not able to comment. Thanks for Understanding

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