Chennai’s Short Winter to take effect soon

There is a proverb in Tamil, காக்கைக்கும் தன் குஞ்சு பொன் குஞ்சு, Chennai might have a mild summer that’s called winter but its our very own winter and its time to enjoy it. Chennai’s short mild summer aka winter season will take effect shortly.  The easterlies had been providing some moisture to the eastern coast of Peninsular […]

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January Cyclone Historical Perspective

IMD has officially acknowledged Northeast Monsoon has ended.Though the easterly winds would continue till possibly April the chances of rains would depend hugely on any synoptic conditions in the form of an easterly wave pushed in from Western Pacific or possibly any disturbance developing over in Bay of Bengal.

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Northeast Monsoon Rainfall Analysis for Chennai (1958 to 2012)

Lot of discussions happen among weather enthusiasts on what factors provide a good Northeast Monsoon for Chennai.  While there are a lot of factors that influence rains, this analysis is restricted to finding how ENSO & IOD have behaved during various rainfall years to get an understanding on what is an ideal correlation between the two […]

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Weather Update – 2nd January 2015

The Low Pressure Area that gave rains to Chennai early this week continues to persist off the Odisha coast.  Simultaneously since yesterday there is an Upper Air Circulation that has developed off the West Coast in Arabian Sea. Consequent to this some parts of Peninsular India are under the influence of a Line of Wind […]

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Northeast Monsoon 2014 Summary

A New Year, A New Beginning. Chennayil Oru Mazhaikalam wishes all its well wishers a Happy New Year. While Northeast Monsoon officially ended on 31st December 2014 the winds would continue to be Easterlies till about April possibly with occasional winter rains during this period.  Its time to enjoy our winter and the early morning […]

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Bay of Bengal Low – Update 30th December 2014

After providing some much needed rains to Chennai and surrounding areas yesterday the Well Marked Low has moved further North and is now ESE of Chennai at about 400 kms away. As it moves further North it would enter into high shear zone which could prevent further intensification majorly.  Models expect the disturbance to further […]

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Bay of Bengal – Low Pressure Update

The disturbance over Bay of Bengal has moved to better conditions in South Central Bay and has picked up some intensity over the last 24 hours or so.  Though it is still lacking in a proper structure yet it has moved into an area with better shear conditions which should aid it to build some […]

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Bay of Bengal Disturbance – Disappointing Season continues

As with pattern this year, events dont seem to work in favour of Chennai & North Tamil Nadu.  While the majority expectation was for the low to form closer to Andaman Islands, the low has developed SE of Sri Lanka. With the expected steering pattern available it is at a location where it cannot develop […]

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Delay in Low Pressure Area formation in Bay of Bengal with Ever Changing equations

While weather enthusiasts are eagerly looking at Bay of  Bengal for the next disturbance to form, the bay is moving things at its own pace with a lot of factors inter playing.  As confirmed by IMD there is a Low Pressure trough SE of Sri Lanka along the equatorial waters and another trough west of […]

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Bay of Bengal Disturbance Update – 23rd December

The expected disturbance in Bay of Bengal is coming along nicely south of Andaman Islands.  Over the next 24 to 48 hours a possible low could form near Sumatra Islands which could shape up as the future system destined to possibly give some decent rains to Tamil Nadu.  Though its difficult to predict where a […]

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