Northeast Monsoon to pick up once again

Northeast Monsoon is set to become active once again this week for Tamil Nadu. The Depression / Deep Depression pretty much ate into almost 10 days of the Northeast Monsoon without much takeaways for both Andhra Pradesh and Tamil Nadu.  The  effect of this disturbance is finally on the wane and pretty much negligible on […]

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Bay of Bengal Disturbances – Updates

The Well Marked Low Pressure Area off the Andhra Pradesh Coast continues to linger on giving some good rains to South AP.  Chennai got missed out on the rains with slightly more West movement than the WSW movement that was expected from it. The disturbance that was expected to move from South China Sea has […]

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Bay of Bengal Current & Prospective Disturbances Analysis

The current depression in Bay of Bengal has pretty much ended its life cycle with Shear and Dry Air killing any chance of becoming anything big.  Its currently to the ENE of Chennai and is expected to wind up towards the Indian Coast towards South AP / North TN,  whether it would indeed reach the […]

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Where is the Depression in the Bay of Bengal?

There is quite a confusion over the actual position of the depression over Bay of Bengal with two different agencies providing two different locations for the same time.  The difference in position between IMD and JTWC is apart by more than 150 kms. This difference in the location of the system is creating two different […]

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Bay of Bengal Deep Depression – Update

The Deep Depression in Bay of Bengal is now under a sustained attack of Dry Air which is influencing its development.  One can notice the low moisture content seeping into the system in the video as blue colours envelopes the system. Already under the effect of Moderate Shear its going to be seriously handicapped over […]

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Cyclone Formation Alert in Bay of Bengal from JTWC – Ashobaa in the making?

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) has issued a cyclone formation alert in the Bay of Bengal.  The probability of a Tropical Cyclone formation over the next 24 hours is very high as per JTWC. https://www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/warnings/io9114web.txt Currently the system is showing some good organization and is expected to move in a NNW direction as it gets […]

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Flashback – Diviseema Uppena (AP Cyclone) November 1977

Roughly 37 yeas back, Andhra Pradesh was struck by a Category 4 Cyclone, an event that possibly was the most referred to Cyclone in AP prior to the landfall of Hudhud in Vizag last month.  For a state that has seen its fair share of Cyclonic Storms over the years it is an understatement to […]

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LPA formed over Bay of Bengal

A Low Pressure Area has formed over Bay of Bengal (not officially confirmed yet by IMD).  It has formed to the North West of what was expected to be the point of formation.  The point of genesis is very important for the development and life cycle of any Tropical System.  The current genesis point possibly […]

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Bay Disturbance – Possible Evolution Alternatives

COMK Blog exclusively for the first time brings out a forecast for the Bay Disturbance which covers all aspects that govern the evolution of a cyclone in a seamless manner.  Just wait as the story evolves on its own through an animated GIF. Starting from where the Low Pressure Area might form we track the […]

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Bay Keeps Weather Enthusiasts on tenterhooks

The Bay has been keeping weather enthusiasts on tenterhooks with models predicting a wide range of Tracks and Landfall Locations.  The earliest landfall is on 7th and the latest is beyond 12th. Primarily the confusion stems from the fact that there exists firm possibility of cyclone developing from three different locations.  The birth location of […]

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