Northeast Monsoon 2014 Summary

A New Year, A New Beginning. Chennayil Oru Mazhaikalam wishes all its well wishers a Happy New Year. While Northeast Monsoon officially ended on 31st December 2014 the winds would continue to be Easterlies till about April possibly with occasional winter rains during this period.  Its time to enjoy our winter and the early morning […]

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Bay of Bengal Low – Update 30th December 2014

After providing some much needed rains to Chennai and surrounding areas yesterday the Well Marked Low has moved further North and is now ESE of Chennai at about 400 kms away. As it moves further North it would enter into high shear zone which could prevent further intensification majorly.  Models expect the disturbance to further […]

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Bay of Bengal – Low Pressure Update

The disturbance over Bay of Bengal has moved to better conditions in South Central Bay and has picked up some intensity over the last 24 hours or so.  Though it is still lacking in a proper structure yet it has moved into an area with better shear conditions which should aid it to build some […]

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Bay of Bengal Disturbance – Disappointing Season continues

As with pattern this year, events dont seem to work in favour of Chennai & North Tamil Nadu.  While the majority expectation was for the low to form closer to Andaman Islands, the low has developed SE of Sri Lanka. With the expected steering pattern available it is at a location where it cannot develop […]

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Delay in Low Pressure Area formation in Bay of Bengal with Ever Changing equations

While weather enthusiasts are eagerly looking at Bay of  Bengal for the next disturbance to form, the bay is moving things at its own pace with a lot of factors inter playing.  As confirmed by IMD there is a Low Pressure trough SE of Sri Lanka along the equatorial waters and another trough west of […]

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Bay of Bengal Disturbance Update – 23rd December

The expected disturbance in Bay of Bengal is coming along nicely south of Andaman Islands.  Over the next 24 to 48 hours a possible low could form near Sumatra Islands which could shape up as the future system destined to possibly give some decent rains to Tamil Nadu.  Though its difficult to predict where a […]

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Will active Bay of Bengal give a Final Bang to Northeast Monsoon

The Bay has been active all season long but has been subdued for what ever reasons since the Northeast Monsoon started.  But in a final push it is expected to end the season with a bang.  If things go as per script expected by Models there could be a Marginal cyclone that would skirt the […]

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3rd Deficit Year in a row for North TN on the cards

The Rain Break for Chennai should extend till Christmas possibly, with only occasional isolated rains on the cards for extreme North TN.  As things stand the rains would be restricted to around Pondy / Villupuram Latitude in the days to come.  The earliest decent chance of some good rains for Chennai is when possibly a […]

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Northeast Monsoon 2014 – Current Status

While Chennai possibly goes through its umpteenth rain break for this season its a good time to run a quick status check of the Northeast Monsoon 2014 for Tamil Nadu.  This summary is as of 10th December, we will update by the weekend the status as of 17th December once IMD puts the data out.

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Rain break for Chennai a firm possibility

Conditions were very good for Chennai to receive some rains yesterday and today morning.  Despite most models are predicting and some strong hope from us and other weather blogs as well except for a few isolated rains last morning Chennai did not receive any decent spell of rain.   Theoretically these two days were the […]

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